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Contents |
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Charts and Diagrams vii |
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Concerning Economic Prediction An Introduction xi |
| 1. |
Why Trends Are Important 1 |
| 2. |
Patterns in Growth of Organisms 10 |
| 3. |
The Growth Trend in Our Basic Industries 22 |
| 4. |
Trends in Some Other Industries 42 |
| 5. |
Some Rhythmic Cycles in Natural Phenomena 51 |
| 6. |
The 54-Year Rhythm 69 |
| 7. |
The 9-Year Rhythm 87 |
| 8. |
The 3 1/2-Year Rhythm 102 |
| 9. |
The 18-Year Rhythm 115 |
| 10. |
Causes, Correlations, Conjectures 135 |
| 11. |
Analysis and Synthesis 160 |
| 12. |
Timing a Business 172 |
| 13. |
Avoiding Some Economic Illusions 191 |
| 14. |
War and Its Dislocations 200 |
| 15. |
Postwar Trends 215 |
| 16. |
Postwar Rhythms 226 |
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Appendix 1 239 |
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Appendix 2 246 |
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Appendix 3 251 |