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1990
1990 V41_1 Feb FEATURES
5 A Biological Stock Market Rhythm Theory. New highs and new lows, and their stock market signatures. By Karl Moch.
10 On the Road to Chaos. A new theory is applied to market analysis. By Martin A. Armstrong.
14 Relationship of the El Nino Cycle to Droughts in the U.S. Corn Belt. The anatomy of a drought. By Louis M. Thompson.
17 Cycles in War and Peace. What's ahead in the next two decades. By Richard Mogey.
21 Cycle Projections in Gold and Silver, Bonds and Interest Rates, and Stocks. By Richard Mogey.
25 A Review of Research on the War Index. By Edward R Dewey. Excerpted from Cycles, November 1966.
29 1990 Annual Conference: Cycle Synchronies..
31 Annual Members Survey.
33 The Sunspot Cycle and the Florida Citrus Freeze, Heating Oil Prices, and QBO. Is there any relationship? By Charles Notis and James Roemer.
35 Cycle View of the Weather for March and April. By Frank Socey.
DEPARTMENTS
4 Director's Letter: Time and Time Again. 38 Focus on Cycles: The 17.7-year Cycle. 42 Cycles in History The 17.7year Cycle 44 Editorial Guidelines for Cycles . 45 Data Update: The "New Decade" Recession Effect. 48 The Bookshelf: Time, the Familiar Stranger; Timetables of History. 50 Foundation Extracts: The Current Business Cycle; Verve Cycles. 52 The Marketplace: Cycle Analysts Review. 56 The Forum
1990 V41_2 March-April FEATURES
65 Solar and Lunar Cycles Embedded in the El Niņo Periodicities. An in-depth look at the relationship between the Sun and El Nino. Reprinted from Proceedings of the 1990 Annual Conference. By Rhodes W. Fairbridge.
74 Chaos and Cycles. The second in a series of articles on chaos and the markets. By Martin A. Armstrong.
76 18.6-year and 19-year Periods in Southern California and the Upland Earthquake. Update of a major earthquake cycle, in light of recent events. By Martin Kokus.
80 The Outlook for Agricultural: Soybeans, Corn, and Wheat. What's ahead on the farms for 1990? By Richard Mogey.
85 Cycle Projections in Silver and Gold, Interest Rates, and Bonds. By Richard Mogey.
90 The 6-Year Cycle. By Edward R Dewey. Reprinted from Cycles, December 1950.
104 Cycle View of the Weather for May and June. By Frank Socey.
DEPARTMENTS
64 Director's Letter: 98 Focus on Cycles: The 6-year Cycle. 102 Cycles in History: The 6-year Cycle. 106 Data Update 108 Computer Data Series: Complete listing of new data. 110 The Bookshelf: lime Cycles; From Clocks to Chaos; Cycles: Now Through 2010. 113 Foundation Extracts: The Current Business Cycle; The Biennial and Triennial Cycles. 116 The Forum
1990 V41_3 May-June FEATURES
125 Chaos and Cycles, Part 3. The third in a series of articles on chaos and the markets. By Martin A. Armstrong.
128 Relationship Between Rainfall in the Northern Hemisphere and Impulses of the Torque in the Sun's Motion. New findings in sun-weather relationships. By Theodor Landscheidt.
134 Review of Some Recent Anomalous Gravity Experiments. A review of experiments in possible fifth and sixth forces. By John Bagby.
140 Cycles in Short-term Interest Rates. A review of the short end of the yield curve. By Keith McCullough.
143 The Outlook for Live Hogs. A new analysis of the cycles in hog prices. By Richard Mogey.
146 Cycle Projections in Silver, Stocks, and Bonds. By Richard Mogey.
151 Economic and Sociological Phenomena Related to Solar Activity and Influences. By Edward R Dewey. Reprinted from Cycles, September 1968.
168 Cycle View of the Weather for July and August. By Frank Socey.
DEPARTMENTS
124 Director's Letter: "Get wisdom, and with all the getting, get understanding." 163 Cycles in History: The 22-year Cycle. 165 Data Update: Sequences in the Inflation Cycle. 170 The Bookshelf: Time's Arrow, Time's Cycle; Cycles; Seasonal Futures Spreads. 173 Foundation Extracts: The Current Business Cycle; Astronomical Cycles and the Earth's Climate. 176 The Forum
1990 V41_4 July-August FEATURES
185 Forest Fire Cycles. Cycles in forest fires compared with cycles in solar activity, earth rotation, and other climatic cycles. By Melinda S. Stumpf and Martin S. Kokus.
187 Forecasting with Maximum Entropy Spectral Analysis with Linear Prediction. Practical application of maximum entry spectral analysis as a forecasting tool. By Anthony F. Herbst.
191 The American History Cycle and the Stock Market. The political cycle works with the stock market cycle to form a larger socioeconomic cycle. By Albert W. Potts, Jr.
194 Cyclical Trends in Interest Rates. World interest rates have been fluctuating in an observable pattern for centuries. By Martin A. Armstrong.
197 New Models in Cycle Analysis. Alternatives to the standard sinusoidal model for the examination of cycles. By Richard Mogey.
201 Cycle Projections in Stock Indices, Interest Rates and Bonds, and Gold. By Richard Mogey.
205 1990-1991 Publications Catalog. Completely revised catalog, with new titles and new data series.
217 Seasonal Architecture. By Cleta Olmstead Boughton. Reprinted from Journal of Hunum Ecology, 1953.
228 Cycle View of the Weather for September and October. By Frank Socey.
DEPARTMENTS
184 Director's Letter: A New Cycle. 223 Cycles in History The 9-year Cycle. 225 Data Update: Is the Economic Cycle Symmetrical? 230 The Bookshelf Power Cycles; Seasonal Patterns in Business and Everyday Life; Cycles of Fire; Mastering Elliott Wave; Acres USA. Desk Reference. 233 Foundation Extracts: The Current Business Cycle; Fluctuations in Manage and Divorce Frequencies in Relation to the Month of Marriage. 236 The Forum
1990 V41_5 Sep-Oct FEATURES
245 A New Method of Forecasting Trend Change. A new timing tool used to forecast stock and commodity market trend change dates. By S. Kris Kaufman. 249 The Solar Cycle and Planetary Periods. New findings in the relationship between the solar cycle and planetary periods. By Martin Kokus.
252 Postscript: Anomalous Gravity Experiments. Update and new research in anomalous gravity. By John P. Bagby.
256 Using Cycles in Trading. Basic rules for trading with cycles show one practical way that cycles can be successfully applied. By Richard Mogey.
262 Cycle Projections in Stocks, Bonds, Gold, and Crude Oil. By Richard Mogey.
265 Wheeler's Climate Curve and War. The link between climate and war, plus war charts from Wheeler's unpublished manuscript. By Diane Epperson.
288 An Early Freeze For the Corn Belt? The historical record foretells growing conditions for the rest of this par. By James Roemer and Craig Solberg.
290 Cycle View of the Weather for November and December. By Frank Socey.
DEPARTMENTS
244 Director's Letter. The Two-fold Natute of Cycles. 283 Cycles in History. The 3.3-year Cycle. 285 Data Update. '13tree More Measures of Producer Prices. 292 Foundation Extracts. The Current Business Cycle; Some Manifestations of Cyclic Fluctuations of the Climate of the Northern Hemisphere. 295 The Bookshelf. "Form and Number" category; Biological Rhythms in Human and Animal Physiology. 297 The Forum
1990 V41_6 Nov-Dec FEATURES
305 Cyclical Astronomical "Super tides" - A Coastal-flooding Caveat. On December 2,1990, a statistically high potential exists for tidal flooding along lowland portions of the East and West coasts. By Fergus J. Wood
316 Cosmology and Cycles. Some alternative theories to the "big bang" theory predict cycles in gravity and geomagnetism equal to orbital periods in the solar system. By Martin Kokus.
321 Solar and Lunar Cycles in Earthquakes: An Electrostatic Trigger. Evidence is strongly in favor of an electrostatic trigger for earthquakes. By Richard Pasichynk.
329 The Power of Oscillator/Cycle Combinations in T-Bonds. How to combine oscillators and cycle analysis to improve market timing. By Walter Bressert.
333 Cycle Projections in Stocks, Bonds, and Gold. By Richard Mogey.
337 Using Cycles in Trading, Part Two. The nature of cycles and how to represent, use, and monitor them. More basic rules for trading with cycles. By Richard Mogey.
340 Cycle View of the Weather for January and February. By Frank Socey.
DEPARTMENTS
304 Director's Letter. A Hopeful Year-end Message 343 Data Update. Another Look at the Inventory Cycle. 346 The Bookshelf. How to Make a Cycle Analysis. 348 Foundation Extracts. Crude Oil Rate of Change; Climatic Cycles During the Last 35,000 Years. 351 The Forum 354 Index to Volume 41,1990
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1991
1991 V42_1 Jan-Feb FEATURES
5 Field Analysis In History and Economics. A philosophical look at the "art" of contextual thinking in cycle analysis. By P.Q. Wall.
8 An In-depth Outlook for Gold. The long- and short-term cycles in gold, and the outlook for 1991. By Martin Armstrong.
14 A Lunar Chaos Theory. A new theory of chaotic behavior in the moon's orbit, and its influence on cycles in stocks and commodities. By Hans Hannula. 19 Solar Cycle Update. Update on current research in solar cycles and related phenomena, including new correlations involving sunspots, neutrino flux, and solar oscillations. By Martin Kokus.
22 Sunspots and Birth Defects. Evidence for a new kind of cosmic connection that suggests a link between human beings and their celestial environment. By Richard Nolle.
26 The 432-year Super inflation Cycle. About every 432 years, a massive super inflation occurs in which price levels quadruple, or more. By Al Owen.
29 ANNUAL CONFERENCE 1991
33 The Cyclic Outlook for 1991. The outlook for peace and for several important areas of the economy. 9. Richard Mogey.
42 The 500-year Cycle in Music. The history of music in f i n cycles dating from ancient times, and which parallel Wheeler's climate/cultural cycles. By Wamn Dwight Allen.
54 Cycle Mew of the Weather for March and April. By Frank Socey.
DEPARTMENTS
4 Director's Letter. It feels good to be 50! 50 Data Update. Financial Crises and the Business Cycle. 56 The Bookshelf. The Power of Oscillator Cycle Combinations; Generating Economic Cycles; After the Crash of Suburbia. 58 The Forum
1991 V42_4 July-Aug FEATURES
185 Cycles of Political and Economic Change. Man's cycle of political change is directly linked to the cycle of monetary crisis. By Martin Among . 189 Volcanic Cycles and Climate. Volcanic activity as a whole can be predicted with sufficient accuracy using cycles to bracket the climatic and agricultural future. By Mmin Kokur.
196 El Niņo and the Grain Belt. The cyclical nature of El Niņo's points toward a drier summer ahead. By James Roemer.
199 The Mystery of the "Forecast of an Earlier Generation". Through the years, Samuel Benner's original forecast chart has been copied, altered, revised, and reprinted without due credit to the author. By Richard Mogey
203 Cycle Projections in Interest Rates, Stocks, and the Metals. By Richard Mogey.
208 The Phase Method of Analyzing Economic Cycles. A phase model can analyze a cycle of non-fixed length and amplitude, and track its motion in "phase space." By Christopher Cagan
221 A Projection to the Year 2000 of Eleven Stock Price Cycles. By E.R Dewey.
224 How Cultures Grow -"Contemporary" Political Epochs in Four Cultures (chart). By Oswald Spengler.
DEPARTMENTS
184 From the Director. . . The Old Armchair 215 Market Cycles Review. A Forecast Summary of Selected Market Analysts. 226 Data Update. Cycle Analysis Requires More Than Just Picking Turning Points. 230 Cycle View of the Weather. September and October. 232 The Bookshelf. The WD. Gann Trading Seminar. 234 The Forum. Geophysical events of early 1991; Use of sunspots to forecast weather; Lunar cycles and the Sierra Madre (California) earthquake of June 28, 1991; The Jose Cycle in polarity changes of sunspots; Seismic forecasting using heliocentric midpoints.
1991 V42_6 Nov-Dec FEATURES
307 U.S. Election Cycles Updated. A number of cycles, from 12 to 154 years, seem to exist in U.S. election results. Here the author assesses the outcome of his 1979 projections. 4, Gary Manin
310 Solar Cycles and American History. Embodied in the recent history of the United States is a cycle of 22.2 years, in which 11.1 years of more or less calm are followed by 11.1 years of relative turbulence. By, Roben T. Wood
314 Cyclic Trends in Interest Rates. The current decline in rates merely reflects excess short-term capital, not a solid long-term trend. By, Manin Armstrong.
316 The Solar-Terrestrial Linkage in Climate and War. PART 11: War. Solar activity, geomagnetic storms, and climate are correlated with war and civil unrest. By, Richard Pasichnyk
323 Cycle Projections in the Kondratieff Wave, Stocks, Interest Rates, and Gold. By Richard Mogey
332 The 54-year Rhythm in Tree Rings. Dewey's early research into the 54-year cycle in the environment as a possible cause of economic cycles. By Edward R Dewey.
DEPARTMENTS
304 From the Director.. . Only time will tell. 305 The World of Cycles. Review of cycles developing in the world today. 335 Market Cycles Review. A forecast summary of selected market analysts. 341 Cycle View of the Weather. January and February. 343 Data Update. Watch the Inventory Cycle. 346 The Bookshelf. Chaos and Order in the Capital Markets; El Niņo, La Niņa, and the Southern Oscillation. 348 The Forum. In defense of neural networks; Niemira's reply; Additional micro pulsations in earthquake incidence; How do planetary positions affect the stock market? 353 Index to Volume 42,1991.
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1992
1992 V43_1 Jan-Feb FEATURES
7 Outlook for the U.S. Stock Market. Does history repeat itself? The current market situation is nothing like that of 1929. By Manin Amstrong
11 Cycle Analyses of East Coast Earthquakes Reveal Existing and "New" Planets in the Solar System. Evidence for celestial causes of and/or resonance with the Kondratieff Wave and several other periods. By John Bagby
20 The Cyclic Outlook for 1992. Cycles in agriculture, stocks, interest rates, the economy, and climate all are projected for potential turns in 1992.9, Richard Mogey.
26 Cycles in Crude Oil. Expect downward prices in crude oil until the 40-month cycle bottoms in 1992.9, Richard Mogey.
29 1992 Annual Conference: Cycles at the C r o s s d . Climate, the long wave, and the economy in the 1990s-an in-depth look at the important issues of our day.
38 Stock Prices and Space. Early research into the possible correlations between stock price movements and planetary alignments. By Edward R Dewey.
41 Stock Prices, Mercury, and Space. Continuing research into correlations between stock prices and alignments of Mercury. By Edward R Dewey. -
DEPARTMENTS
4 From the Director.. .At the Crossroads of Change. 5 The World of Cycles. Review of cycles developing in the world today. 33 Market Cycles Review. A forecast summary of selected market analysts. 51 Cycle View of the Weather. March and April. 53 Data Update. Data Revisions and the Business Cycle Analyst. 56 The Bookshelf. A Financial History of Western Europe; Manias, Panics, and Crashes; Futures and Options Fact Book. 58 The Forum.
1992 V43_4 July-Aug FEATURES
187 Long-term Cycles in Heating Degree Daps: The Impact on Demand for Natural Gas. Have today's winters become significantly milder? A long-term look at national climate patterns. By John C. Cochazer.
191 Phase Method Analysis of Cycles in Real Estate Prices. The outlook for real estate in the early '905, as indicated by the phase method. By Christopher L. Cagan.
195 The "B1mutn Stock Top of 1993: Megacycles and the US. Election With twelve cycles topping at once, 1992 will continue to see an emotional market and element. By Grant D. Noble.
200 Cycle Projections in Stocks, Bonds, the U.S. Dollar, and Cycle Inversions. By Richard Mogey.
205 1992-1993 Publications Catalog. Completely revised catalog of publications available from the Foundation.
DEPARTMENTS
184 From the Director. This the season for change. . . 185 The World of Cycles. Review of cycles developing in the world today. 219 Market Cycles Review. Forecast summary of selected market analysts. 225 Data Update. A Newly Created Monthly Production Inc. 228 Cycle View of the Weather. September and October 230 The Bookshelf. Money and Exchange in Europe and America, 1600-1775; the Timing, Nature, and Came of the Business Cycle. 232 The Forum. Planetary cycles, war, temperature, and the stock market
1992 V43_5 Sep-Oct FEATURES
246 Global Warming: New Crisis or Old Cycle?. Current global circulation models that forecast increasing temperatures underestimate solar-terrestrial effects and overstate manmade influences. By Byan J. Walsh.
253 The Cycle of Political Change. The U.S. political scene should see only minor change in 1992, with a major change coming in 1994. Gold and many commodities will begin a new bull market phase following the first quarter of 1993. By Martin A. Armstrong.
256 Computerized Digital Filters. Perhaps we should reevaluate the moving average in terms of more precise computerized digital filters. By John W. Sullivan.
260 Time For a New Cycle Model? The sine-wave model long favored by cycle analysts is not always the best way to picture cycles. By Richard Mogey.
272 The Case For Cycles. Classic discussion of the internal and external evidence of cycle significance, and their possible causes. By Edward R. Dewey
DEPARTMENTS
244 From the Director. Cycles in the real world. . . 266 Market Cycles Review. Forecast summary of selected market analysts. 287 Data Update. Cycles in Motor Vehicle Sales. 290 Cycle View of the Weather. November and December 292 The Bookshelf. Biological Anomalies: Humans: The Scientific: Basis of Astrology; Life Cycles, Money Cycles. 294 The Forum. Cycles of 12 and 72yeam in U.S. presidential politics; The 60-year triad cycle of depressions; More new moon events: The cycle of 19, a cycle of time.
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1993
1993 V44_1 Jan-Feb FEATURES
9 Is the World Inherently Wild?. Behind the manifestation of historical/econornic events is a great wheel of contraries of motive. By P.Q. Wall.
13 Forecasting Geo active Solar Activity For Human Biological Read ions. The application of geo active solar activity forecasting to prevent industrial and traffic accidents. By Imre Ormkyi.
20 Lindsay's Cultural Cycles. George Lindsay's method of predicting major political and social events. By Bill Meridian.
24 Postscript: Anomalous Gravity Cycles. Additional analysis of standing gravity waves. By John P. Bagby.
29 1993 Annual Conference. Agenda and registration information for the Foundation's Annual Conference, April 17-18,1993.
33 The Cyclic Outlook for 1993. Inter-market analysis uses cycles and leading indicators to project changes in individual markets. By Richard Mogey.
40 Prediction of Civil Violence to the Year 2001. Civil conflict correlates cyclically with political regime and economic wealth. By N. Alcock and J. Quittner.
DEPARTMENTS
4 From the Director. Introducing a New Feature. . . 5 Economic Review. 32 The Bookshelf. Taming the Future; The Sun, the Moon, and the Silver Market. 47 Market Cycles Review. Forecast summary of selected market analysts. 53 Cycle View of the Weather. March and April. 55 The Forum. Link between California earthquakes and solar activity; The 3- to 4-year business cycle; 60-year cycle in interest rates; The Seattle drought of 1992.
1993 V44_2 May FEATURES
71 Impact of Global Warming and Cooling on U.S. Corn Production The influence of global warming and cooling on the El Niņo cycle and the 20-year cycle. By Louis M. Thompson.
76 Economic Cycles and Changes in the Earth's Geomagnetic Field. Changes in the earth's geomagnetic field seem to modulate a variety of economic and financial activities. By Bryan Walsh.
81 Cosmic Conditions During Catastrophic Earthquakes of the Twentieth Century. The most lethal earthquakes tend to be the least random and occur during specific geo cosmic conditions. By Gurgen P. Tamrazyan.
86 Living With the Business Cycle. The business cycle must move through its downturns to correct the inefficiencies of the earlier period, so a stronger economy can arise. By Martin A. Armstrong.
96 The Cycles of Inflation. Few series measure inflation directly, so the Foundation uses a combination of dominant cycles. By Richard Mogey.
89 Commodity Prices: A Key. Chapin Hoskins' classic treatise. By Chapin Hoskins.
109 Marechal's Stock Market Forecast of 1933. A forecast chart prepared in 1933 by George Marechal shows that economic fluctuations can be partially predicted. By Edward R. Dewey.
DEPARTMENTS
64 From the Director. The Ups and Downs of the Cycle. . . 65 Economic Review. 69 Cycle Projections. 75 Geophysical Data Roundup. 103 Market Cycles Review. Forecast summary of selected market analysts. 112 Cycle View of the Weather. July and August 114 The Bookshelf. The Pulse of Politics. 116 The Forum. The Saturn Jupiter lap cycle in stocks; The 60-year cycle in rainfall; The predictions of Bury Lynes; Results of the 1992 geophysical forecast calendar; The 40-year cycle in the stock market.
1993 V44_3 September FEATURES
131 Preliminary Winter Forecast. Preliminary conclusions based on criteria similar to those used for analog years in last fall's forecast. By Jim Roemer.
135 Winter Forecast Based on Sunspots and Pacific Ocean Temperature Anomalies. Detailed study of sunspots and analysis of Pacific Ocean sea surface temperatures, as used in forecasting winter weather. By Jim Roemer.
140 Large Volcanic Eruptions and Earthquakes in Pace With the Chandler Wobble. The Chandler beat period of about 6.2 years seems to influence seismic activity. By Giran Windelius.
145 Seasonality in Television Viewing. A new mathematical model reveals a 167-month cycle in video innovation. By George A. Barneft, Sungho Cho, and Young Chui.
150 The Future of Gold. Gold's historic role as both a commodity and a monetary unit poses problems for the cycle analyst. The future of gold is examined in light of three potential scenarios. By Richard Mogey.
158 Cycles in Silver and Gold. A classic study by a world authority on the business cycle, the stock market, and gold in relation to planetary cycles. By David Williams.
DEPARTMENTS
124 From the Director. A New Home For the Foundation . . . 125 Economic Review. Business cycle developments and the leading indicators. Special report: "Measuring the Japanese Business Cycle," by Michael Niemira. 129 Cycle Projections. Dow Jones Industrials, bonds, gold, and the CRB. 144 Geophysical Data Roundup. Sunspots, solar flux, and lake levels. 166 Market Cycles Review. Forecast summary of selected market analysts. 171 Cycle View of the Weather. November and December. The Bookshelf. Weather Cycles: Real or Imaginary ?; History Ci War; Financial Analysis of Real Estate Investments; The Cause and Control of the Business Cycle. 175 The Forum. New cycles group formed on the West Coast; Modulations, sideband periods, and array analysis; Cyclic perturbations found in the human heart's "normal" pulse; The 144 million-year cycle of major glaciations.
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1994
1994 V44_4 Jan-Feb FEATURES
191 How Cycles Function. Cyclical wave motion is the method through which all things are perpetuated, by providing a means for energy to be transferred from one region to another. By Martin A. Armstrong.
194 Cycles of Enhanced Seismic Activity in California. Potential earthquake precursor indicators are evaluated in an attempt to identify future periods of enhanced seism city in California. By Brynn J. Walsh.
200 Cycles in Interest Rates. The history of interest rates is a tale of usury, monetary crises, inflation, debt, and the purchasing power of the dollar. By Richard Mogey.
205 1993-94 Publications Catalog. Updated catalog of publications available from the Foundation.
227 Historical Survey of Interest Rates. Classic review of the history of interest rates since the eighteenth century. By Zhid Williams.
DEPARTMENTS
184 From the Director. Of Snau, Ice, and Time. . . 185 Economic Review. Business cycle developments and the leading indicators. Special report: 'The 16-month Apparel Cycle," by Michael Niemira. 189 Cycle Projections. Dow Jones Industrials, bonds, gold, and the CRB. 193 Geophysical Data Roundup. Sunspots, solar flux, and lake levels. 220 Market Cycles Review. Forecast summary of selected market analysts. 234 Cycle View of the Weather. March and April. 236 The Forum. Hally's comet linked to weather cycles?
1994 V44_5 March-April FEATURES
252 Proposed Mathematical Basis For the Elliott Wave. Mathematical model that combines sine waves suggests a possible revision of the Elliott Wave count. By Ric Ingram.
255 Social Dynamics and the Investment Cycle. The only manageable way to understand human economic behavior is to study people in groups and search for reliable societal patterns over time. By Norm Poirk.
261 Global Winter Wheat Prognosis. New analog studies suggest cool spring weather, with its impact on winter wheat. By Michael Speltz.
265 The Great Law of the Universe. A revolutionary view of the nature of the world that challenges traditional scientific thinking. By Irving I. Dardik.
278 The 40-month Cycle Synchrony. The 40-month cycle comprises a family of related cycles that are found in physical, biological, and economic series. By Richard Mogey.
251 Gertrude Shirk. A sad farewell to the Foundation's vice president, former research director, and one of the foremost cycle analysts in the world. By Richard Mogey.
DEPARTMENTS
244 From the Director. The Great Law of the Universe. . . 245 Economic Review. Business cycle developments and the leading indicators. Special report: "The 'New' Unseen Economic Cycle," by Michael Niernira. 249 Cycle Projections. Dow Jones Industrials, bonds, gold, and the CRB. 254 Geophysical Data Roundup. Sunspots, solar flux, and lake levels. 286 Market Cycles Review. Forecast summary of selected market analysts. 293 Cycle View of the Weather. May. 294 The Forum. Imminent events caused by the Chandler Wobble and the 31-year lunar cycle; The 30-year cycle in real stock market returns; The 88-day cycle in gold prices.
1994 V44_6 May-June FEATURES
311 Cosmological Coincidences. Relationships between dimensionless numbers, electromagnetism, gravity, and astronomical red shifts not yet explained by current physical laws. By Martin Koktrs.
316 The 20-year Drought Cycle. A 20-year periodicity seems to be present in major dry spells in the Corn Belt. By Craig Solberg.
319 Cycles in American Political History. Fluctuations in the relative proportions of liberals and conservatives in the U.S. Congress reveal long-term tidal cycles. By John B. Bradshaw.
327 The CRB Index, Soybeans, and Inflation. Soybeans are a strong leading indicator for both inflation and interest rates. By Stephen Bush.
334 Cycles in Interest Rates. The definitive study by one of the Foundation's foremost experts. By Gertrude Shirk.
DEPARTMENTS
304 From the Director. The 1994 Annual Conference. . . 305 Economic Review. Business cycle developments and the leading indicators. Special report: Has the U.S. Dollar Crisis Run its Course? by Michael Niemira. 309 Cycle Projections. Dow Jones Industrials, bonds, gold, and the CRB. 315 Geophysical Data Roundup. Sunspots, solar flux, and lake levels. 341 Editorial Guidelines for Cycles Magazine 342 Market Cycles Review. Forecast summary of selected market analysts. 349 Cycle View of the Weather. September. 351 The Forum. The Northridge quake; the Little Ice Age; The throbbing earth. 353 Index to Volume 44,1993
1994 V45_1 Nov FEATURES
8 Confronting the Unthinkable: The Concentration of Major Cycles in the 1990s. Many cycles will reach their low points in the 1990 something that has not happened since about 1500. By Willimn Houston.
17 Planetary Cycles, Iowa Tree Rings, and Cycles in Corn Prices. The two dominant cycles in Iowa tree rings appear to fall into phase in 1995, which portends poor growing conditions in Iowa in the next few years. By Kermit Johnson.
21 Drought Cycles in 1995. The combination of major cycle peaks expected in 1995 has not occurred in at least 300 years and warns of a major drought. By Lawrence L. Acker.
26 Outlook For the Winter of 1995. The winter outlook for the major energy-consuming regions of the Midwest and Northeast United States. By Craig Solberg.
DEPARTMENTS
2 From the Director. Exciting New Publication from the Foundation . . . 3 Economic Review. Business cycle developments and the leading indicators. 6 Cycle Projections. Dow Jones Industrials, bonds, gold, and the CRB. 16 The Bookshelf. The Great Boom Ahead; Meltdown: The Great '90s Depression and Hour to Come Through It a Winner. 27 Geophysical Data Roundup. Sunspots, solar flux, and lake levels. 28 Cycle View of the Weather. December. 29 The Forum. Consequences of the new Little Ice Age
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1995
1995 V45_2 Feb FEATURES
35 Long Cycles and Growth. In order to explain the long cycle, we must relate the Schumpeterian view of innovations and the Arthur Lewis view of relative-price phenomena. By W.W. Rostow.
43 When the Sun Goes Backward. An unusual solar event of the early 1990s is producing climatic extremes for the rest of the decade. By James H. Shirley.
49 The Law of Waves. The Law of Waves is a single, non-mathematical organizing principle of nature that describes how and why the universe behaves the way it does. By Irving I. Dardik.
DEPARTMENTS
34 From the Director. Something Old, Something New 42 Geophysical Data Roundup. Sunspots, solar flux, and lake levels. 61 The Forum. Correlation of the 60-year interest-rate cycle with stocks, inflation, and the economy; Trees predict the next Little Ice Age; Analysis of Japanese earthquakes; Mayan convergence and the stock market; The January earthquakes.
1995 V45_3 May FEATURES
67 Growth Is Cyclic. The relative rate of growth declines more or less regularly with time. By John Loy.
69 Growth Curves. Growth occurs in a regular pattern that can be described with concise mathematical formulas called growth curves. By John Loy.
77 Triggering of Southern California and Japanese Earthquakes, 1891-1995. Several periodic terms found in Japanese and Southern California earthquakes are nearly identical, which implies a "far away" source. By John Bagby.
83 The Southern Oscillation Index and the 1995 Growing Season. Analog year studies support the outlook of a cool, wet spring in the Corn Belt. By Craig Solberg.
DEPARTMENTS
66 From the Director. Some Thoughts on Cycles . . . 82 Geophysical Data Roundup. Sunspots, solar flux, and lake levels. 86 Market Cycles Review. Forecast summary of selected market analysts. 92 Cycle View of the Weather. June and July. 94 The Forum. Researcher's query: The ratio 1.23; Increased seismicity ahead for Southern California.
1995 V45_4 June-July FEATURES
99 The Dollar Crisis or the Yen/Deutsche Mark Crisis? While currency traders joke about the "dollar" 'crisis, the real crisis is taking place in Japan and Germany as their economies continue to implode. By Martin Armstrong.
102 Cosmic Cycle Analysis: A New Tool For the Prediction of Market Movements. Variation in solar radiation, which affects not only weather and climate but also man's social and economic activity, is based on a set of solar-terrestrial cycles that can be used to make dependable predictions. By Theodor Landscheidt.
121 Fluctuations in Coffee Prices. The recent cyclical pattern of higher coffee prices every 2-6 years, combined with other global factors, indicates a freeze in Brazil sooner rather than later. By Jim Roemer.
DEPARTMENTS
98 From the Director. Some Thoughts on Cycles 117 Geophysical Data Roundup. sunspots, solar flux, and lake levels. 118 Market Cycles Review. Forecast summary of selected market analysts. 123 Cycle View of the Weather. August and September. 125 The Forum. Commodities on the solar retrograde cycle; Sunspot peaks and international battles; East coast, Southern California, and Japanese earthquakes; Solar retrograde motion update.
1995 V45_5 Nov FEATURES
131 Winter Forecast for the Midwest and Northeast. The study of analog years suggests a mild winter ahead. By Jim Roemer.
137 Astroseismology and Order Versus Chaotic Vibration. Magnitude variations of variable stars are "ordered" and relate to values found in terrestrial phenomena. By John P. Bagby.
140 Fetal Growth in Periods of Extreme Solar Activity. Increased birth weight and length of infants born during solar maximums suggests a correlation between solar activity and fetal growth. By P. Merlob, S.H. Reisner, M. Shimshoni, and E. Stoupel.
146 Sunspot Number Changes During Planetary Alignments. Most increases in sunspot number are linked to heliocentric planetary conjunctions, making prediction of solar activity possible. By Buy1 Payne.
149 Intermarket Cycle Analysis: The 40-month Cycle Synchrony and Sequence. How to use the 40-month sequence as a tool to recognize trend changes in the market. By Richard Mogey.
DEPARTMENTS
130 From the Director. A Call For Papers: "The Great Law of the Universe" . . 136 Geophysical Data Roundup. Sunspots, solar flux, and lake levels. New! 154 Beginner's Comer. The basics of cycle analysis. 155 Glossary of Cycle Analysis Terms. 160 The Forum. Lunar distance and earthquakes 160 The Bookshelf. Seasonal Trader's Bible; Cycles in Humans and Nature.
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1996
1996 V45_6 May FEATURES
163 Dewey's Accurate Equity Indicator. An astronomic indicator developed by Dewey proves to be an accurate lagging market indicator. By Bill Meridian.
166 Short-term Price Progression Explained by a Third Dimension. An alternative to the classical price-time chart uses weighted time to more accurately depict short-term trend. By Dm Harlap.
169 Some Rhythmic Cycles in Natural Phenomena. All of nature is subject to a complex series of rhythms, some of which repeat in a variety of apparently unrelated phenomena, from animal abundance to sunspots. By Edward R. Dewey and Edzuin F. Dakin.
178 Moon Phases and Ultraviolet Radiation During a Solar Cycle. Global ultraviolet radiation measurements show correlation with phases of the 11-year solar cycle and with phases of the moon. By Imre Ormenyi
DEPARTMENTS
162 From the Director. The 1996 Annual Convention . . . 176 Cycle View of the Weather. Summer Outlook. 182 Beginner's Comer. The basics of cycle analysis. 183 Geophysical Data Roundup. Sunspots, solar flux, and lake levels. 184 The Forum. An alternative to "time" for measuring cycle flux; Increased volcanism leading to mother Little Ice Age. 187 Index to Volume 45 192 Editorial Guidelines
1996 V46_1 August FEATURES
3 The History of Economic Data. The history of economic data illustrates the role that time series played in the evolution of civilization and its various economies. By Richard Mogey.
11 Financial Crises and the Number 56. Financial crises tend to occur every 56 years in eleven principal sequences, which account for many of the major crises in western European and U.S. financial history since 1760. By David McMinn.
18 Outer-solar-system Bodies as a Source of Periodicity in Earthquakes. Many periods in a previous study of East Coast earthquakes seem to be caused by planetary bodies outside our solar system. By John P. Bagby.
DEPARTMENTS
2 From the Director. Vim From Afar. 10 Geophysical Data Roundup. Sunspots, solar flux, and lake levels. 17 The Bookshelf. 29 The Forum. A twenty-first century view; Payne's hypothesis applied to the next Little Ice Age and solar spin rate; Summer outlook for the Corn Belt; The cycle of time, part 2.
1996 V46_2 October FEATURES
35 The Cycles of Politics and Implications For the Future. Three dominant cycles are influencing this decade and will continue early into the next century, with a number of implications for the world's economies. By William Houston.
41 The Long Homeostatic Cycle. A mathematical reconstruction of time called phase time uses the quasi-cyclical structure of the stock market to construct specialized financial instruments. These integral securities remove much of the variability due to short-term fluctuations in the market. By Christopher Cagan.
50 Neural Networks: A Risk Management Tool. Neural network technology makes it possible to perform analyses and draw conclusions in a primitive imitation of the human brain, providing investors with a reliable tool for forecasting investment trends. By Larry Pesavento.
54 George Lindsay's "Three Peaks and the Domed House." Lindsay discovered a recurring pattern in the stock market that is typically found at the tops of long, sustained bull markets. By Ernie P. Quigley.
DEPARTMENTS
34 From the Director. . . . 53 Geophysical Data Roundup. Sunspots, solar flux, and lake levels. 58 Cycle View of the Weather. September, October, November. 60 The Forum. The start of solar cycle 23; Second-order triggering of earthquakes and volcanoes by natural earth satellites; Jupiter and Uranus: The social-power planets?; An early look at the winter of 1996-97.
1996 V46_3 December FEATURES
67 Heart Waves: The Single Solution to Heart-rate Variability and Ischemic Preconditioning. The heart wave is the body's master wave that organizes and synchronizes all behavioral waves of the whole organism. By Irving I. Dardik.
79 The Short Homeostatic Cycle. The short homeostatic cycle in the stock market and its use in the phase method approach to investing. By Christopher Cagan.
85 Updated Winter Outlook: The East and Midwest New analog studies suggest the coming winter could be warmer than previously thought. By Jim Roemer and Michael Speltz.
DEPARTMENTS
91 Cycle View of the Weather. December, January, February., 66 From the Director. . . . 93 The Forum. Sequential affective states; Why is the sunspot cycle 22 years long?; Early U.S. winter outlook.
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1997
1997 V46_4 October FEATURES
99 The Sun, the Moon, and the Number 56. The 56-year cycle of financial crises correlates closely with solar and lunar cycles. By David McMinn.
105 Invalidation of the "Dardik Postulates." A more critical and fundamental model of science challenges the major premises of Dardik's "Heart Waves." By W. James Catallo.
113 Solar and Lunar Cycles Embedded in the El Niņo Periodicities. Analog projection of lunar, solar, and planetary cycles that influence El Niņo's can be used to predict future events. Reprinted from Cycles, March-April 1990. By Rhodes W. Fairbridge.
121 El Niņo Update. A survey of El Niņo's expected impact on some of the world's primary growing areas and crops. By Jim Roemer, Craig Solberg, and Michael Speltz.
DEPARTMENTS
98 From the Manager...
126 The Forum. Cyclic human heartbeat; Geophysical Forecast Calendar; inertia and momentum in natural cycles at all scales.
128 Geophysical Data Roundup
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